It’s a truism in every US election: Latinos vote Democrat. But in polls, many are turning to Republican Donald Trump. Are they putting him in the White House?
If you want to rule the USA, you can’t ignore the Latinos. Around a fifth of Americans have their roots in Spanish-speaking neighboring countries. That’s 54 million Americans, mostly Catholic, more conservative, more blue-collar workers than department heads. And actually Democratic voters – like many other minorities. But their support is crumbling and could cost US President Joe Biden the decisive votes. would be a beneficiary Donald Trumpformer president and almost certain candidate for the next election in November.
“People are disappointed with the Democrats”
Take Arizona, for example: In the state on the border with Mexico, a third of the population is Hispanic, and office holders Biden won here in 2020 with a lead of just 10,000 votes. But Donald Trump is currently ahead in almost all polls. “People are disappointed with the Democrats,” said 42-year-old Aracely Mendez, a harvest worker from Arizona, to the Reuters news agency. “Prices have gone up. It’s tough.” Retiree Alma Cuevas also explains that she is more inclined towards Trump than Biden in this election. Things had gotten better economically under Trump and Biden hadn’t done enough to combat illegal immigration.
The latter is likely to become the overarching election campaign issue in the coming months. It affects both new and old Americans. So far, the government in Washington has not been able to control or even contain the flow of migrants satisfactorily. A great template for the right-wing populist Donald Trump, who has been building a wall at the border for years Mexico build and recently even wants to throw all twelve million people without residence papers out of the country.
Latinos Concerned About Illegal Immigration
Many Democrats have so far reacted negatively and believe that Latinos would find Trump’s tough stance racist. Many people do this, but “concerns about illegal immigration remain high,” according to Ruy Teixeira, a political analyst Reuters says. In addition to this issue, Latinos, like most Americans, are concerned about inflation, jobs and the economy in general.
According to a Reuters and Ipsos poll of 800 Hispanic adults, Trump’s approval rating is 38 percent, ahead of Biden’s 37 percent. Reason: “Democrats are avoiding the main problem – high prices. That’s not what working-class voters expect from a political party.”
Donald Trump is ahead of Joe Biden
Obviously, Latinos are not the only group of voters who have hoped for more from the government in this regard. President Joe Biden has lost considerable support among most voters and is now behind his old and probably new opponent Trump in the polls. In all swing states in which the election could be decided on November 5th, and in which Arizona heard, the Republican leads, sometimes even in double digits.
The upcoming election is likely to be anything but a sure-fire success for the governing Democrats. Many party strategists had long hoped that Donald Trump would get tangled up in his numerous lawsuits. But so far the long-standing defendant has even been able to benefit from his legal problems. And what makes things more difficult for Biden’s party is that Latinos are not as reliable voters as is often assumed.
Latino voters not a safe bet for Democrats
At least write that the authors Maria Cardona and Matt Barreto in the Los Angeles Times. The democratic analyst and the political scientist point out that the population of Spanish origin tends to lean towards Democrats, but not always and everywhere. In 2004, the then Republican US President George W. Bush is almost 40 during his re-election percent of the Latino vote, eight years later 70 percent of them voted for the Democrat.
In tight states like Arizona and Nevada, however, “Joe Biden was most recently elected by two out of three Latinos and with significant differences depending on the candidate,” say Cardon and Barreto. In short, the two concluded: “It is an exaggeration to see Latino voters as a safe bank for the Democrats. The party certainly reaches them best, but it also has to make a lot of effort to retain them as voters.”
Sources: “AZ Central”, Reuters, “LA Times”, 538.com, Morningconsult
