Charles Franklin is considered one of the best pollsters in the USA. He warns that Kamala Harris’ good results should not be overestimated – the polling business is becoming increasingly difficult.
Professor Franklin, what is the current situation in the race for the White House?
Our last Marquette University Law School poll had Kamala Harris and Donald Trump tied, but that was before the convention. According to RealClearPolitics and 538, Harris currently has a narrow lead.
Do you base your information on these two news sites?
Both calculate the average values of all polls. RealClearPolitics also includes the surveys of some conservative institutes and gives Harris a lead of 1.5 percentage points. 538 is more selective, only takes the high-quality polls and comes up with a lead of a good three percentage points. We are somewhere in between right now.